Geography · 26 Aug 2026

El Niño ENSO monsoon

Consider the following statements regarding the El Niño phenomenon:

  1. It is classified as occurring when sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean rise at least 0.5°C above the long-term baseline.
  2. It strengthens the Walker Circulation, thereby intensifying moisture-laden winds that feed India's southwest monsoon.
  3. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle recurs at a fixed interval of exactly five years.
A1 only
B2 only
C1 and 2 only
D1, 2 and 3
About this question

Why in news

The UK Met Office confirmed forecasts this week of an unprecedented El Niño signal, with sea surface temperatures potentially exceeding 3°C above baseline, while the UN's Copernicus Climate Change Service separately projects 2026 as a likely record-breaking year with below-normal rainfall already noted over India.

Why for UPSC

UPSC frequently tests whether aspirants understand El Niño as a mechanism (weakened Walker Circulation disrupting monsoon winds) rather than just a headline term - this question probes that causal chain plus the classification threshold and irregular periodicity, both classic distractor traps.

Prelims summary

El Niño is declared at ≥0.5°C eastern Pacific SST anomaly; it weakens the Walker Circulation and thereby weakens India's southwest monsoon; the ENSO cycle recurs irregularly every 2-7 years, with no fixed periodicity.

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