What an 81% Chance of "Godzilla" Actually Means for This Year's Kharif Sowing
NOAA's monthly ENSO bulletin, released Thursday, flagged an 81% probability of a very strong El Niño event by October-December 2026, prompting IMD to issue a below-normal rainfall forecast through July 22 as the current monsoon season is already underway. NOAA predicts an 81% chance of a "very strong" El Niño by late 2026, driven by oceanic and atmospheric conditions that typically suppress the Indian monsoon. For UPSC, this…